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Author Topic:  Wait: Steel prices will come down
Don Benoit

 

From:
Okanagan Falls, BC
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 9:08 am    
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In my opinion new and used steel guitar prices have gotten out of line. With the US economy at the beginning of a recession, prices are bound to come down.
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Mike Archer


From:
church hill tn
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 10:54 am     I agree
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I agree the prices on new and used steels are

way to high if they keep going nobody

will be able to afford to buy one

I hope prices do fall down a bit

Mike Very Happy
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Johnne Lee Ables


From:
Minnesota, USA
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 10:56 am     Re: Wait: Steel prices will come down
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Don Benoit wrote:
In my opinion new and used steel guitar prices have gotten out of line. With the US economy at the beginning of a recession, prices are bound to come down.


Hey Don,

Those of us with limited $$$ have to wait!!! Laughing

But honestly, I think those who can afford a PSG will continue to pay whatever they are asked to pay for the "trend-ier" PSGs - new or used. PSG is a very restricted, niche market and I doubt that it is effected much by day-to-day economics. PSG is an expensive proposition...

And, if prices fell many PSG manufacturers couldn't really afford to sell them, so...

Not that I disagree with your assessment of the prices, Don! The same situation exists with Bluegrass Banjos and people keeping paying "Monopoly $$$" for the trendy instruments. (Mine is a 'home-brewed' job, though.)

I'm on the verge of giving up my search for a quality, affordable PSG. Oh Well Especially with all the nefarious sales offers that go on in the used PSG marketplace. I may just have to stay with a converted, 6-string until I can put together a lap. But that would have nothing at all to do with the current economy. It would be a relative value issue for me.

Just my $00.01 worth!

Johnne Lee
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Mike Archer


From:
church hill tn
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 11:19 am     thats true as well
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thats true Johnne

in my case I cant get a new or used one

even if the price did come down this ole emmons will have to last a long time

but im blessed to have a great steel many

right now cant get a nice steel and for that

im sad.......but the metal and all that goes into

making a steel or amp or vol pedal or whatever
just keeps going up and up GEE WHERE DOES IT END?
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Erv Niehaus


From:
Litchfield, MN, USA
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 11:35 am    
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There isn't a lot of money being made in building pedal steel guitars.

If you are waiting for the price to go down, I'm afraid you are going to be waiting for a loooooooong time. Rolling Eyes
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Mike Archer


From:
church hill tn
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 11:51 am     true also
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your right Erv

im blue in the face holding my breath now

hahahaheheh!!
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Carl Vilar


From:
New Jersey USA
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 11:55 am    
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Bottom line is they are worth whatever someone is willing to pay for them. There are plenty of inexpensive steels out there whether it's a stageone or an older MSA they are out there. High quality guitars are always going to be expensive specially if they are in mint condition. Me personally I rather pay top dollar for one that's mint because that is all I want mint condition and I'm willing to pay for it. If you can live with broken wood and scratched chrome your going to pay less.
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Erv Niehaus


From:
Litchfield, MN, USA
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 11:55 am    
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Quick!
Does anybody know the Heimlick maneuver!!!??? Very Happy
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Daniel J. Cormier

 

From:
Lake Charles, LA, USA
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 12:05 pm    
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With the price of the really good guitars running around $5000.00 buying a good used guitar for 1/2 that doesn't seem all that bad.
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Johnne Lee Ables


From:
Minnesota, USA
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 12:13 pm     Absolutely true, Erv!!!!!
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Erv Niehaus wrote:
There isn't a lot of money being made in building pedal steel guitars.

If you are waiting for the price to go down, I'm afraid you are going to be waiting for a loooooooong time. Rolling Eyes


I think you are completely correct, Erv. In fact, I think prices will continue to rise in the current curve for a finite period and then the PSG market will shrink to the same level that Blue Grass banjo has achieved. When that happens the price increase curve will steepen. Then there will be one or two manufacturers and a bunch of hobby builders.

PSG is a niche instrument and the type of music that it was most commonly used for is rapidly changing. Those changes just don't seem to include much PSG. PSG is a VERY difficult instrument to play and there is no existing standardization or broad-spectrum course of study.

I hear what a lot of existing PSG folks say about the "Sacred Steel" crew giving the PSG more exposure. But, I do enough substitute teaching to also hear what young guys say. The price of admission is prohibitive and the PSG just doesn't have the image necessary. There are far, far too many musical options and alternatives.

I recall the great "sexy, mobile keyboard" boom in R-n-R. It died. It was kinda' sad to watch, actually. The PSG will never allow the posturing that is required in the music that is popular with the vast majority of young folks. Dreamy eye-contact and pelvic thrusting are a bit of a challenge while trying to play a non-fixed pitch instrument that is difficult to keep in tune. Not to mention that it might be a bit difficult to toss one to a roadie for a quick string change.

It seems to me that unless there is a paradigm shift in music and musical tastes there will never be a PSG that is an affordable option for the "average" family income. If an off-shore CNC factory tooled up it would be different, but it is an economies-of-scale situation.

Those factories current situation is...

No demand = high production costs and high-priced instruments. High-priced instruments = no demand!

Unless something VERY major happens I think PSG prices will continue to climb.

JL
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John Roche


From:
England
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 12:15 pm    
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I don't think there are enought steel players buying PSG to bring the price down, it's not a mass market.

I'll ask Gordon Brown our PM and ex Chancellor if he thinks they will, after all he just saved the world with actions to buy shares in the banks , a action that has been taken up by the USA and the rest of Europe,, so we will see....
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Jerry Overstreet


From:
Louisville Ky
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 12:17 pm    
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NOMB really but, I'm sure the guys that have guitars for sale on this board would rather you had posted this topic over on the Steel Players or one of the other Steel guitar sections. While I tend to agree somewhat, I don't think a discussion about it on the for sale board will help anyone's chances of selling their gear. JMO
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Erv Niehaus


From:
Litchfield, MN, USA
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 12:23 pm    
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The market for guitars is somewhat soft at present but there will always be buyers for quality instruments.

Unless you are a professional musician and earning a lot of money with music, guitars are a "luxury" item and other budget items have priority. Sad
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Michael Strauss


From:
Delray Beach,Florida
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 12:33 pm    
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Hi Jerry,
I disagree.
I don't think this thread will effect anyone buying a new (used) steel. I can't play my Carter, but it didn't stop me from buying the LDG Herby was selling. I saw it, fell in love and convinced the boss, by way of an early birthday present, I should get it.

I don't think most people buy an instrument, PSG or otherwise, because they need it. Most people buy instruments because they want them. My .02
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Terry Winter

 

From:
Saskatchewan, Canada
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 12:47 pm    
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I know that steels are expensive but only look back 20 years or so and compare what quaility steels were worth then to what they are now. Now compare all of the other items such as autos,food and most all other merchandise and you'll find that a quaility steel quitar hasn't inflated to what the other goods have. Terry
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Daniel J. Cormier

 

From:
Lake Charles, LA, USA
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 1:26 pm    
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I agree with Terry. I never Thought we'd be paying 3.50 + dollars a gallon for Gasoline and 4.00 a gallon for Milk.Eggs have almost doubled also
I am so glad that it is now as cheap to drink Beer as it is milk Winking
Oh I forgot about the big midwest cattle strike and the northern Arkansas Chicken strike Laughing Laughing
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Daniel J. Cormier
Rittenberry with Tone to the bone,profex or tubefex and what ever amp, hilton pedal, BJS bars. Email at kajunsteelman@yahoo.com.


Last edited by Daniel J. Cormier on 14 Oct 2008 1:33 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Dave Mudgett


From:
Central Pennsylvania and Gallatin, Tennessee
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 1:31 pm    
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This thread belongs in "Pedal Steel", not "For Sale: Instrument" simply because it isn't a for-sale ad for an instrument, pure and simple. I expect b0b will probably move it there when he sees this.

On topic (I'm talking PSG here, but probably this would all go for nonpedal steel also) - I don't think the prices of new or used steels are out of line at all. I honestly don't see how the builders do it for the money - this is way more labor and machining intensive than slappin' together Strats or Telecasters, and a good, new, US-made Fender Strat/Tele starts at a grand and goes up from there.

Look at it another way - in inflation-adjusted constant dollars, the price for a first-class pedal steel is significantly down from 30-40 years ago. A pro-quality PSG was over a grand back then, and I expect that plenty of them ran well over that. $1000 in 1973 (35 years ago) is equivalent to about $5000 now, so I expect that a minimalist $1000 pro-level PSG (I'd guess an S-10) should be $5,000 now, a pretty standard $1500 pro PSG would be more like $7,500 now, and a really decked-out D-10 from that period would be more like $10,000 now - that is if you wanted to talk comparable cost.

I can't think of a single PSG that's $10,000 now - in fact, aside from maybe something like a Franklin, I can't think of any that are $7,500 now. 5 grand buys a whale of a lot of PSG these days, and a lot of nice ones are in the high-2000's to $4000 range - that's brand new.

Now let's talk about used guitars. There's a mid-70s Sho Bud rack and barrel D-10 Professional in For Sale: Instruments just languishing there (last I looked) for $1300. That's insane. I'll bet the guitar cost at least that much 35 years ago - if so, then now it's worth, in constant dollars, 5 times less.

Pedal steel guitars are a bargain now. If you want to see these builders survive, don't wish for prices to seriously tumble. Maybe that's OK for Wal-Mart importing junk for knick-knack paddywhacks, but if the US is going to survive as a country that makes anything, we're gonna have to accept the "No Free Lunch" premise - you don't get people to do this kind of work for orders of magnitude less money than they did it 30-40 years ago. IMHO.

Of course, with the serious credit crunch going on right now, there realistically may be a tumble in prices of used guitars for a while - but only because the money supply is insufficient. But that reasoning probably doesn't work for new guitars - at a certain point, if the demand-price-pull goes down too close to the cost to make one, then there's no reason to supply them, and that will push the price up for those who really want or need one one.

The other factor is that a bunch of other things are probably gonna ratchet inflation up - hey, somebody's got to pay for this bailout schtick - guess who?

Quote:
I am so glad that it is now as cheap to drink Beer as it is milk.

Dan, I didn't know you were Irish. Wink


Last edited by Dave Mudgett on 14 Oct 2008 1:38 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Chris LeDrew


From:
Canada
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 1:34 pm    
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Don, if our Canadian dollar keeps getting weaker, steel prices will only soar for us. I just bought a new steel from a US builder and paid about $400 difference on the currency exchange. If I had bought it 6 months ago, I would have hardly paid $200. Drag, but that's life.

Having said all that, I don't think steel prices are all that bad. If you look at a company with a few employees, who all have families to feed, you can understand why they are $2,500-$5,000 a pop. It takes a bit of time to build one, and then you have all the machinery. I don't take that much issue with the builders' prices.
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Daniel J. Cormier

 

From:
Lake Charles, LA, USA
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 1:50 pm    
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I'm Cajun French /German Decent. Very Happy
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Daniel J. Cormier
Rittenberry with Tone to the bone,profex or tubefex and what ever amp, hilton pedal, BJS bars. Email at kajunsteelman@yahoo.com.
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Stan Paxton


From:
1/2 & 1/2 Florida and Tenn, USA (old Missouri boy gone South)
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 2:00 pm    
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Johnne Lee, with all due respect, I can't agree that the market for good quality steels will go away, "shrink". Right now, take into consideration the looong wait to get a Zum, and some of the other top name quality brands also have 6 months or better waiting list. ...With that kind of wait, quality used guitars will hold their own price up. ...No, it don't look to me like we can expect to see a fall in prices: supply & demand have always driven the prices, taking into consideration that cost/profit have to be looked at by the makers. If no profit, no supply- no supply, higher demand- higher demand, no decrease in price for new or used. Smile ...just MHO, and I'm sticking to it.... Cool
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Last edited by Stan Paxton on 14 Oct 2008 2:19 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Mike Schwartzman

 

From:
Maryland, USA
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 2:18 pm    
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Interesting topic...Even before all of this present economic downturn, I'm thinking that Custom Shop 6 string electric guitars and basses from the 2 largest USA guitar manufacturers were in the 2-3K plus range new. So, when I think that most PSG manufacturers are indeed custom shops... the prices of new PSGs don't seem out of line relative to custom shop 6 stringers, considering the parts and labor involved. I can't really comment much on the used instrument market...too inexperienced.
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Farris Currie

 

From:
Ona, Florida, USA, R.I.P.
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 2:34 pm    
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AS a custom machine shop owner

i know all the people that know how to do,wants more money for their work.

if you can go to C&C it helps,but those machines C&C ,machines
cost lots of money.

and still they can't do all the hand work.

You got to have lots of hand labor.

thats all i got to say

farris
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Don Benoit

 

From:
Okanagan Falls, BC
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 3:12 pm    
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I don't see any comments about what age group are buying steel right now. In my opinion, it's the retiring baby boomers. I don't see very many young people buying steels. That's one reason for prices coming down but most importantly, the economy will be going downhill. People in general owe more more than they pay back.
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Mike Benzschawel


From:
madison wi
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 3:18 pm     steel prices
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don, being new to this pedal steel thing, i too was surpised at how much a psg costs. however, once you take into account the materials, machining, and labor as the guys mentioned above, you get to see how they can get pricey. i was squemish about spending the money to buy my first pedal steel after i got the bug but remember this: a quality used instrument will, for the most part, hold its value. so if you can muster around a grand, you can get a great steel that you could always resell if you don't like it/lose interest. it's like buying a good used amp or guitar.
one thing i've noticed too, and was curious if anyone else has, is that even in the last six months it seems like steel prices have dropped. with the shaky economy i think a alot of folks are hesitant to buy and or are selling off some gear to generate some funds. dave mentioned the vintage d 10 sho bud (for 1300 bucks!), also some nice fender console steels for under a grand, etc etc
keep lookin, the forum is where it's at for steel deals Very Happy
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Bent Romnes


From:
London,Ontario, Canada
Post  Posted 14 Oct 2008 4:00 pm    
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Nobody gets rich building and selling pedal steels at today's prices.
One builder told me he is making around $9 an hour building those things. Would anybody like to make that kinda wage? I didn't think so.
That is the case when the whole steel is built from scratch.

It might be different where the "builder" only orders all the parts mass produced and only assembles and sets up the steel.
Sure..some outfit in say China could be contracted to spit out endplates etc where the workers get paid $5 a day or less.

At least when we buy a new steel today, we know that it is made by a builder who put his soul into the project. We know we get quality built by a North-American.

I don't agree that steels are over-priced one bit.
Just my 2c
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